Investment Thesis
Bridger Aerospace faces severe financial distress with negative stockholders' equity of -$342.6M, indicating the company is technically insolvent and liabilities exceed all assets. Despite revenue growth of 24.6% and positive net income, the company is burning cash with negative free cash flow of -$64.2M and cannot cover interest expenses (0.7x coverage ratio), creating imminent solvency risk.
Strengths
- Revenue growth of 24.6% YoY demonstrates market demand for services
- Gross margin of 42.1% shows reasonable pricing power and operational efficiency at production level
- Positive operating cash flow of $16.7M indicates core business can generate cash from operations
Risks
- Negative stockholders' equity of -$342.6M represents technical insolvency with liabilities exceeding assets by $342.6M
- Negative free cash flow of -$64.2M with high capital expenditure of $80.9M is unsustainable and indicates cash burn despite revenue growth
- Interest coverage ratio of 0.7x means operating income cannot cover debt service obligations, creating default risk on $222.5M long-term debt
Key Metrics to Watch
- Path to positive free cash flow and capital expenditure reduction timeline
- Debt restructuring announcements or refinancing activities
- Quarterly trend in net income and operating margin sustainability
Financial Metrics
Revenue
122.8M
Net Income
4.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.42
Free Cash Flow
-64.2M
Total Assets
330.3M
Cash
31.4M
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin
42.1%
Operating Margin
3.2%
Net Margin
3.4%
ROE
N/A
ROA
1.3%
FCF Margin
-52.3%
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Current Ratio
2.43x
Quick Ratio
2.43x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
80.4%
Interest Coverage
0.66x
Long-term Debt
222.5M
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings.
It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice.
All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings.
Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR |
Analysis Date: 2026-03-20T15:18:10.260640 |
Data as of: 2025-12-31 |
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