GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC

CIK: 0000886982
AI RATING
SELL
82% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Goldman Sachs exhibits strong profitability metrics with 21.4% net margins and 13.7% ROE, supported by exceptional 492.8% revenue growth. However, severe cash flow deterioration with -$47.2B free cash flow and negative operating cash flow raise critical concerns about earnings quality and sustainability. The 1.83x debt-to-equity ratio combined with weak 0.3x interest coverage and negative FCF margin signals potential liquidity stress despite substantial cash reserves.

Strengths

  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 492.8% YoY indicates strong market activity and business momentum
  • + Healthy net profit margin of 21.4% and operating margin of 27.2% demonstrate operational efficiency
  • + Substantial cash reserves of $164.3B provide significant liquidity buffer and financial flexibility

Risks

  • ! Severe negative free cash flow of -$47.2B with -58.7% FCF margin questions earnings quality and sustainability
  • ! Operating cash flow significantly negative at -$45.2B despite positive net income suggests potential working capital deterioration or non-cash accounting items
  • ! Elevated leverage with 1.83x debt-to-equity and concerning 0.3x interest coverage ratio creates refinancing risk in rising rate environment

Key Metrics to Watch

Financial Metrics

Revenue
80.4B
Net Income
17.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$51.32
Free Cash Flow
-47.2B
Total Assets
1.8T
Cash
164.3B

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 27.2%
Net Margin 21.4%
ROE 13.7%
ROA 0.9%
FCF Margin -58.7%

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.83x
Debt/Assets
93.1%
Interest Coverage
0.33x
Long-term Debt
228.7B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: 2026-03-19T19:07:50.256448 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI