HCXY Hercules Capital, Inc.

NYSE MD CIK: 0001280784
AI RATING
SELL
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Despite strong net profit margins (66.9%) and decent return metrics, Hercules Capital faces critical cash flow deterioration with -$425.8M operating cash burn and net income growth of only 0.8%, indicating poor earnings quality. The combination of significant leverage (1.03x Debt/Equity), minimal cash reserves ($56.9M against $2.4B liabilities), and stagnant earnings growth raises sustainability concerns.

Strengths

  • + Exceptional net profit margin of 66.9% indicating efficient investment operations
  • + Solid return metrics with ROE of 15.3% and ROA of 7.4%
  • + Modest revenue growth of 8.7% year-over-year demonstrating ongoing business activity

Risks

  • ! Critical negative operating cash flow of -$425.8M with FCF margin of -83.9%, indicating unsustainable cash burn
  • ! Stagnant net income growth of only 0.8% YoY combined with minimal cash position ($56.9M) relative to $2.4B liabilities
  • ! Elevated leverage ratio of 1.03x Debt/Equity amplifies financial risk, particularly concerning given negative cash generation

Key Metrics to Watch

Financial Metrics

Revenue
507.9M
Net Income
339.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.85
Free Cash Flow
-425.9M
Total Assets
4.6B
Cash
56.9M

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 66.9%
ROE 15.3%
ROA 7.4%
FCF Margin -83.9%

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.03x
Debt/Assets
51.7%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
2.3B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: 2026-04-11T02:18:31.521600 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI