MEC Mayville Engineering Company, Inc.

NYSE Metal Forgings & Stampings CIK: 0001766368
AI RATING
STRONG_SELL
92% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Mayville Engineering is in acute financial distress with negative operating income (-$7.7M), negative free cash flow (-$6.9M), and declining revenue (-6.0% YoY). With only $2.1M in cash while burning capital, the company faces near-term liquidity crisis and will require significant operational restructuring or external capital within 12 months to avoid insolvency.

Strengths

  • + Debt-free capital structure (0.00x debt/equity) eliminates debt service obligations
  • + Current ratio of 1.64x provides near-term liquidity cushion
  • + Stockholders' equity of $232.2M provides asset base for potential restructuring

Risks

  • ! Unprofitable with -$8.2M net income and -5.3% operating margin
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$6.9M with only $2.1M cash reserves indicates 6-month runway
  • ! Revenue declining 6% YoY in cyclical metal forgings/stampings sector
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.91x signals working capital stress despite adequate current ratio
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$2.8M) indicates core business cannot fund operations
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio (-2.3x) despite low debt suggests operational distress

Key Metrics to Watch

Financial Metrics

Revenue
144.8M
Net Income
-8.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
-6.9M
Total Assets
578.1M
Cash
2.1M

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -5.3%
Net Margin -5.6%
ROE -3.5%
ROA -1.4%
FCF Margin -4.8%

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.64x
Quick Ratio
0.91x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
59.8%
Interest Coverage
-2.29x
Long-term Debt
N/A
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: 2026-05-07T09:47:33.614622 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI