Investment Thesis
NCDL exhibits deteriorating operational performance with net income declining 43.6% YoY and negative operating cash flow of -$13.7M, indicating significant portfolio stress. Critically low returns on equity (1.0%) and assets (0.4%) demonstrate the lending portfolio is severely underperforming, while minimal cash reserves of $15.3M are insufficient to support $1.2B in liabilities.
Strengths
- Substantial asset base of $2.0B provides operational foundation
- Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32x
- Established stockholders' equity of $864.1M
Risks
- Net income collapsed 43.6% year-over-year signaling accelerating deterioration
- Negative operating cash flow of -$13.7M indicates the company is burning cash operationally
- Dangerously low returns on equity (1.0%) and assets (0.4%) suggest portfolio underperformance and credit stress
- Critically low cash position ($15.3M) relative to total liabilities ($1.2B) creates liquidity risk
Key Metrics to Watch
- Quarterly operating cash flow trend and cash burn trajectory
- Portfolio credit quality metrics and loan loss provisions
- Net income stabilization and return on equity recovery
- Cash reserve levels and debt covenant compliance
Financial Metrics
Revenue
N/A
Net Income
8.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.86
Free Cash Flow
-13.7M
Total Assets
2.0B
Cash
15.3M
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
N/A
Net Margin
N/A
ROE
1.0%
ROA
0.4%
FCF Margin
N/A
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
1.32x
Debt/Assets
57.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
1.1B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings.
It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice.
All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings.
Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR |
Analysis Date: 2026-05-09T12:01:35.274081 |
Data as of: 2026-03-31 |
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